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Cherrybook.
Lost Sheep Coffee

Brazil | Rich Nutty Toffee

NaturalMedium

Cherrybook Index

48sparse

Evidence-of-quality score, not a cup score. Sparse signal: 1 of 7 signals on file. Methodology

Price position

US$1.99/ozGBP 10.50 for 200g

Typical band for this profile $1.53 to $2.93 (natural single-origin lots (variety unlisted, retail bags); GBP listings; medium roast in stock). Where it sits

Catalog summary

A natural lot from Paranaiba, Brazil, not yet indexed (1 of 7 signals on file) and priced inside the typical band for its listed profile.

Based on the listing and catalog evidence

Buy on Lost Sheep Coffee →

Price and availability set by the roaster.

Cherrybook last checked this listing today.

Roaster’s notes

chocolate · caramel · sweet toffee · milk chocolate · strawberry-like sweetness

  • Fruit
  • Cocoa and nut
  • Sugar and spice
Open the flavor wheel

Mapped from the roaster’s tasting notes to the SCA flavor wheel; Cherrybook’s interpretation of the stated notes, not the roaster’s own categorization.

Brazil | Rich Nutty Toffee by Lost Sheep Coffee
Farm / Co-op
Cachoeira
Process
Natural
Altitude
1100 m
Varietals
—
Harvest
—
Weight
200g
Bag price
GBP 10.50
Price / oz
US$1.99/oz
Brew
espresso, filter

from the roaster’s storeread by Cherrybook from the listing“estimated” below = inferred, not stated

Price contextmodeled

A modeled range and current prices for comparable listings.

$1.99/oz

typically $1.53 to $2.93

Where it sits

18 natural single-origin lots (variety unlisted, retail bags); GBP listings; medium roast in stock

typical band this lot

Limited listing details: 67th percentile of 18 natural single-origin lots (variety unlisted, retail bags); GBP listings; medium roast in stock right now.

Some variety, process or origin details are missing. This comparison does not qualify the coffee for a value recommendation.

What moves this price

cheaper×1.00pricier
  • Brazil origin×0.91
  • Roaster brand and sourcing×1.05
  • Variety not listed×0.96

At 200 g, this bag runs about 5% more per ounce than a typical 288 g bag; that is pack size, not the coffee.

How this estimate works

A statistical model, refit weekly across the in-stock catalog, estimates what a coffee with these listed attributes typically sells for per ounce. Each multiplier compares one trait against the average lot in this market; the roaster line covers brand and sourcing together, which this model cannot separate. Bag size is shown separately, priced at the rate observed across sizes of the same coffee, because it says nothing about the coffee itself. The distribution counts every in-stock listing in the comparison group, with at least 15 listings from three roasters and no roaster supplying more than 60% of it. Decaf, blends, variety segments, processing families and bag formats stay separate. Origin, roast and selling currency can broaden as the group label indicates. Prices are converted to USD per ounce; shipping and differences in tax treatment are not adjusted. The model reads listed attributes only: the quality of the specific lot in the bag is not observable, so a price above the typical band is not evidence of overpricing.

Some listing details are missing or have limited model coverage, so the typical band shown is wider than usual.

Not listed by the roaster: variety

Cherrybook Index (CBI)

Evidence-of-quality score, not a cup score. Methodology

48

Sparse signal

Confidence1 of 7 signals on file

Score is heavily shrunk toward 50; treat as a placeholder until more sources arrive.

How confidence affects the score

Coverage measures signal availability, not cup quality. This coffee has 5% of the signal universe on file. Missing sources are dropped, remaining weights are renormalized, and the result is shrunk toward a neutral 50 baseline by 88% so one thin signal cannot carry the score on its own.

The math on file: renormalized base 75.0 shrunk to 53.1 + bonuses = 48.

Missing: SCA grade, Coffee Review, Reddit sentiment, YouTube reviews, On-shop ratings, Cherrybook ratings

  • Roaster transparency
    Producer / farm / lot disclosure depth
    75/ 100% weight

Bonuses applied

  • Stale-stock demotion
    This lot has been listed in stock for an extended time; specialty coffee freshness degrades over weeks
    +-5

Comps & alternatives

Tasting flight

Compare this with three more lots selected from the catalog.

Brew a set side-by-side. The picks vary along axes that pair with this lot; origin, process, roast, or producer; so you learn the difference, not just drink four good cups.

Build the flight

Reference · About the varietal & origin

About Lost Sheep Coffee

On YouTube

Meet the roaster on camera

1 video

From the roasterBrew guide

How to Steam Milk - The Lost Sheep Way | Lost Sheep Coffee

Lost Sheep Coffee · 13K views on YouTube

Watch on YouTube

This video covers Lost Sheep Coffee; it is general roaster coverage.

Cherrybook summary of the video

This video is a professional tutorial from Lost Sheep Coffee demonstrating their specific technique for steaming milk. It covers the physical process of texturing milk to achieve the microfoam required for latte art.

Inside this video

From Lost Sheep Coffee:

“We're going to show you how to steam milk the Lost Sheep way.”
“It's all about creating that perfect microfoam.”

Videos by their credited creators. Playing a video connects to YouTube. Privacy

Lost Sheep Coffee

US$1.99/oz· GBP 10.50 a bag

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